Time to check out how I did with the predictions I made on New Year’s Day 2024.
1 General Election in UK – Labour landslide. PM – Sir Keir Starmer. (No great change in policies from the Tory government that Labour will replace).
Yes – fulfilled in every way.
2 US politics will continue to be dominated by Donald Trump
Yes
3 In the US Presidential election in November there will be victory for the Republican Party.
Yes
4 AI/Deepfakes have a significant effect in electoral politics.
Not really – AI/Deepfakes are present but there’s no real evidence that they swung any particular election
5 Conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine unresolved by end of 2024.
Alas Yes
6 No progress for those wanting marriage equality in the Church of England.
Alas Yes
7 Twitter goes bust or is sold or both.
Not quite. Twitter feels pretty wounded but still Xists.
8 The world will be warmer in 2024 than ever before.
Yes
9 Another country will join Nato.
Yes, Sweden in March.
A new agreement is reached between the UK and Greece on the Elgin/Parthenon Marbles that opens the door for at least some of them to be displayed in Athens.
Close but no cigar.
Not a bad year – 7 direct hits with a few misses.
Leave a Reply