Time to check out how I did with the predictions I made on New Year’s Day 2024.
1 General Election in UK – Labour landslide. PM – Sir Keir Starmer. (No great change in policies from the Tory government that Labour will replace).
Yes – fulfilled in every way.
2Â US politics will continue to be dominated by Donald Trump
Yes
3Â In the US Presidential election in November there will be victory for the Republican Party.
Yes
4Â AI/Deepfakes have a significant effect in electoral politics.
Not really – AI/Deepfakes are present but there’s no real evidence that they swung any particular election
5Â Conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine unresolved by end of 2024.
Alas Yes
6Â No progress for those wanting marriage equality in the Church of England.
Alas Yes
7Â Twitter goes bust or is sold or both.
Not quite. Twitter feels pretty wounded but still Xists.
8Â The world will be warmer in 2024 than ever before.
Yes
9Â Another country will join Nato.
Yes, Sweden in March.
A new agreement is reached between the UK and Greece on the Elgin/Parthenon Marbles that opens the door for at least some of them to be displayed in Athens.
Close but no cigar.
Not a bad year – 7 direct hits with a few misses.
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