What is in Kelvin's Head?

  • How were my Predictions last year?

    Time to check out how I did with the predictions I made on New Year’s Day 2024.

    1  General Election in UK – Labour landslide. PM – Sir Keir Starmer. (No great change in policies from the Tory government that Labour will replace).

    Yes – fulfilled in every way.

    2  US politics will continue to be dominated by Donald Trump

    Yes

    3  In the US Presidential election in November there will be victory for the Republican Party.

    Yes

    4  AI/Deepfakes have a significant effect in electoral politics.

    Not really – AI/Deepfakes are present but there’s no real evidence that they swung any particular election

    5  Conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine unresolved by end of 2024.

    Alas Yes

    6  No progress for those wanting marriage equality in the Church of England.

    Alas Yes

    7  Twitter goes bust or is sold or both.

    Not quite. Twitter feels pretty wounded but still Xists.

    8  The world will be warmer in 2024 than ever before.

    Yes

    9  Another country will join Nato.

    Yes, Sweden in March.

    A new agreement is reached between the UK and Greece on the Elgin/Parthenon Marbles that opens the door for at least some of them to be displayed in Athens.

    Close but no cigar.

     

    Not a bad year – 7 direct hits with a few misses.

4 responses to “New Year Predictions 2016”

  1. Malcolm Avatar
    Malcolm

    Number One only works if George Carey is capable of a) self-awareness and b) shame. There is no evidence to support either.

    Reply
  2. Bob Chapman Avatar
    Bob Chapman

    We can hope you are right about #4.

    Because of #2, I hope your prediction about #4 is not a fond thing, vainly invented, grounded on no hope of things seen in light of actual events.

    Those of us in the US are always wonder what the ABC is up to when stepping over borders.

    Reply
  3. Meg Rosenfeld Avatar
    Meg Rosenfeld

    I fervently hope that #7 turns out to be the case. It wouldn’t hurt to have a Democratic majority in Congress again, either.

    Reply
  4. pam Avatar
    pam

    So true – delayed at Heathrow for nearly an hour because a drone was in out flight path.. maybe a plane will be hit and then they will legislate.

    Reply

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