• The Four Horsemen of Growth – their names and their characteristics

    Horse with a hand reaching out to it

    “And lo, after the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse of Decline had ravaged the Church of God,  there appeared on the horizon the Four Horsemen of Growth. They stalked the land offering terrifying hope, and succour to the needy”.

    There are only a limited number of ways that a church can grow. These apply both to denominations as well as to local churches.

    Last week I was at the General Synod of the Scottish Episcopal Church where we were asked to engage with the idea of becoming a growing church.

    So far as I can see there are only four major ways in which this can happen. The Four Horsemen of Growth have names. They are Immigration, Conversion, Assimilation and Procreation.

    They do not always arrive individually or sequentially. They tend to arrive in one another’s company. They are social. They are amiable. They enjoy one another’s company.

    The pathway to becoming a growing church is not one that is simple. It is not a trivial task to bring this about either in a local church or in a denomination. And I think that it is important to get to know the Four Horsemen of Growth and to become their friends.

    One of the first things that I would say about this is that I am talking about visible, measurable numerical growth. Yes, I believe that spiritual growth matters. Yes, I believe that serving the needy matters. But sometimes we do need to talk about actual numerical growth and decline in the life of the church. I sit with groups regularly who have to decide where best to spend the resources at our disposal. As I do so, I bear in mind other forms of growth but I am aware that spiritual growth and other non-numerical forms of growth will be wiped out without thinking a little bit about how churches can or can’t grow numerically.

    When thinking about this in my context, the first thing that people need to do is to put on their Hats of Holy Humility and take a long hard look at church statistics. They offer little for our comfort. This is not to say that there isn’t hope. There is hope and it is important to be able to identify where it is hiding and bring it out into the open. The reality though for my denomination is that it has been declining at a fairly steady rate since the 1920s. The patterns of decline that I live amongst were already in place long before I was born and long before I joined the church. Shifting them is not a trivial task or a quick fix. The most likely thing is that those patterns are here to stay.

    But let us grab hold of a bit of hope before thinking about the names of the Four Horsemen of Growth.

    There is something that I think need to be said clearly and unambiguously. This is that church growth is possible both in individual local congregations and also in denominations. My own congregation is bigger than it was 20 years ago when I came here. Significantly so. I can easily name other churches that have grown over a timescale of decades. Ps and Gs Church in Edinburgh and St Mungo’s, Balerno are two within my own denomination that have stories to tell about how they grew significantly. Note that those of us who do have those stories to tell also have stories to tell about how difficult things have been since the pandemic and would probably all note that it is too soon to say what the effect of that major disruption has been. But there are signs of hope in individual congregations even since that time too.

    I rejoice that there is obvious renewal and measurable growth at my neighbouring Episcopal congregation – St Bride’s, Kelvinside. (Which isn’t in Kelvinside for reasons involving a traction engine). I know of other churches in this diocese that are talking about growth as something that they are experiencing too. St Oswald’s in Maybole is another one with a story to tell.  And there are others too.

    I can see growth in congregations of different sizes and which worship in different ways.

    When we think about denominations, I am aware of confidence in at least some parts of the Free Church of Scotland. I am aware of significant interest in Orthodoxy too though that remains relatively small when looking at the bigger picture of faith patterns in this country.

    I have a fairly fundamental belief that it might be important to listen to the voices of those who can speak confidently about their congregations growing.

    I also have a fairly fundamental belief that where there is weekly worship in which people encounter God in a way that is transformative for their lives and meet clergy whom they would like to spend an hour a week with then growth is very likely to happen.

    This is one of the reasons why I always want to talk about worship and clergy whenever we have conversations about growth and mission and all that stuff. Some people really don’t want to talk about those things. But I know that I do.

    But where revival comes, how does it come?

    Well that brings us to the Four Horsemen of Growth.

    Let us deal with them one by one and name their names.

    Firstly the Horseman of Immigration.

    One of the ways in which churches can sometimes grow is through the movement of people from one place to another. This is not a growth in the number of Christians in the world but it can look encouraging locally.

    There have been historic attempts to harness the horse belonging to this horseman but not always successfully. In this diocese there was a huge effort put into building churches for immigrants to the area from Northern Ireland. (Several were not that far from me, particular the church in Anderson built to serve the docks). Scottish Episcopalians spent quite a lot of money putting up churches to welcome these workers new to the area. However, these workers new to the area seem to have preferred the  rather more reformed charms of the plain local Kirk to the exotica of Scottish Episcopalianism. Most of these churches are now long gone. It was a bold attempt to do something and we should be bold in our doings. In the long term though, the demographic changes didn’t lead to lasting change.

    However, more recently, there have been hugely positive  changes to some local churches in which the Horseman of Immigration has played his part.

    In my own congregation, Anglicans from Africa – particularly from Nigeria have arrived and enriched our experience of church hugely.

    Even more recently, there have been arrivals from Iran who have become beloved members of our local fellowship.

    Our life is greatly for the better for those who have arrived from afar.

    Here in the West End of Glasgow it often feels as though we are our own Anglican Communion with people present from India, South Africa, Japan, Canada, Mexico, the USA and West Africa.

    The Horseman of Immigration is our friend in these parts.

    Some of those arriving in my own congregation from both near and afar though have not always been Christians, never mind Anglican Christians.

    Their arrival is due to the work of the Holy Spirit stirring up their hearts at the prompting of the Horseman of Conversion.

    Conversions still happen. I see them fairly regularly. This is a surprise to many people.

    A couple of years ago I started to notice an interesting change in the pattern of people being baptised here. For what I suspect was the first time in the modern history of this congregation, the number of people being baptised as adults (or at least as children who could answer for themselves) was greater than the number of children being baptised as babies. I suspect that it is possible that we’ll soon see a year when all the baptisms here are of those who can answer for themselves.

    People still choose Christianity as a way of life. People still choose Christ. People still find themselves, sometimes to their surprise, looking to the church to find spiritual nourishment and a way of living.

    I can easily point to people who have arrived from other countries who have wanted to explore the faith of the country in which they have found themselves. (The Horsemen of Immigration and Conversion are the best of friends). I can also point to people engaging through online encounters with the church finding that they have faith where previously they had none. It used to be that I knew more people who had tried yoga, Buddhist practice and various new age expressions of faith before pitching up here. I still encounter them but now I find myself meeting people who arrive having tried to find a thoughtful way of living through exploring philosophy but now find themselves looking for something more.

    The Horseman of Conversion is surprisingly active these days and has not grown nearly as old and weary as some would suspect.

    Trotting next into view is the big, bold Horseman of Assimilation. He’s the one about whom we most rarely speak.

    This aspect of Church growth (again not the building up of Christianity but of local expressions of the church) is all about people having been brought up or having encountered other expressions of Christian faith and finding themselves drawn towards a new one.

    Here at St Mary’s the Horseman of Assimilation has blessed us with many joys over the years.

    When we do our Rough Guide to St Mary’s afternoon, something we do every three or four months, we find that most people who come to it do not have much of  a background in Episcopalianism or Anglicanism. We also find that they are astonished to discover that people such as themselves make up the majority of the congregation. And when we tell them that this is also the experience of most of the clergy that they encounter including the Provost and the Vice Provost, they fall off their chairs in amazement. (Well, they teeter on the edge of their chairs in amazement but I exaggerate a little for comedic and holy effect – comedy and holiness being a pair of friends that we may explore more in another post).

    People come to us from other churches. They tend to be looking for a relatively small number of things. They are looking for worship that makes them feel more alive and which allows them to experience joy and which will provide a comfort for their sorrows when comfort is needed. A big signifier of that is the musical life of the congregation but it isn’t the only signifier by any means. They are also looking for an open, inclusive and welcoming ethos. Here and hereabouts this tends to be signified to them by an explicit acknowledgement of LGBT equality and of women and men having equality of opportunity and practice in the congregation and in our denomination. They are also looking for a faith that is neither represented by finger-wagging nor an anything-goes free for all. In some things we are in the middle of the road and in others we are very much on one side of the road and not the other. And people know what they are looking for. If they don’t find what they are looking for here, I’m very happy to help them find it elsewhere. There will be plenty more people in this world who are looking for what happens here.

    The Horseman of Assimilation is nudging people our way all the time. But we don’t talk about it much and in my denomination we are a little afraid of making it clear that those who have first encountered God in other churches are welcome to bide with us whenever they want to walk through the door.

    The Horseman of Assimilation may find his work easier to do now that ecumenism is changing from the expectations of the 1970s to something fresh and new. In the past it was harder to keep company with this horseman because lots of people thought that denominational boundaries and distinctions were going to melt inevitably away leaving some kind of new uniting church that would hold everyone together. This hasn’t happened and the expectation that it will is on our rear horizon not the one that is in front of us.

    And so finally we come to the Horseman of Procreation.

    We can grow the church by having children and bringing them up in such a way that they find faith compelling in later life. This is not a short term strategy for growth!

    Many of our expectations about growth depend on this Horseman. Many of these expectations will not be met in our lifetime.

    I found myself looking around at the General Synod and wondering how many of those present would be able to engage meaningfully with embracing this Horseman of Growth as the major driving force behind real growth in the congregations that they come from. I have a feeling that the Horseman of Procreation has his work cut out amongst us at this time. Contraception has made his work a little harder. Modern ways of being men, women and other people have made his life a little more complicated. But he’s still at work. Children are still born. Children are still baptised. And in churches which draw them into active participation in the liturgical life of the congregation, children are part of God’s bountiful growth.

    So there we are. Four Horsemen of Growth whom we should befriend, as they befriend and help one another. If I’ve missed any other means of growth out, I’d be interested to hear about it.

    And when we talk about becoming a growing church again, though some of them may seem to be in the distance, I’d like us to be talking about which of the Horsemen of Growth we see galloping  enthusiastically towards us.

     

9 responses to “Understanding the Justin Welby Radio Phone-In Controversy”

  1. Richard Avatar
    Richard

    Impressive.

  2. Ann Avatar

    The big issue for me is the ABC’s assumption that he knows best for gay and lesbian people in Africa. It is allegedly caring but the same old colonialist mindset. Has he spoken with lgbt people in Africa? Has he even spoken with Bishop Christopher Senyojo who ministers among them? Has he watched the video Voices of Witness: Africa? Most people who are speaking out in Africa say they want us to continue to be a beacon of hope for them and not give in to oppression and bullying.

  3. Phil Groom Avatar

    “The Back of the Bus Won’t Do” — quite! Thank you for a helpful analysis.

    Watched The Boy in the Striped Pyjamas on BBC 2 last night; mind still reeling as I attempt to process everything that tells us about what happens when we objectify others as non-people. Not something that ++Justin is guilty of, I think, but his attitude to LGBTI people here in the UK surely feeds that in Africa, and he seems blind to that.

  4. Daniel Lamont Avatar
    Daniel Lamont

    An excellent piece with which I entirely agree. You are right to point up the death of deference. There is a parallel with university teaching. When I was a student in the 1960s, I heard it said that appointment to the Scottish professoriat was an invitation to the Almighty to moved. By the time I retired this attitude had entirely gone and was replaced by students expecting to engage in debate. A good thing too. The Church of England is stuck in the 1960s and fails to take account of the fact that people expect to be engaged and treated respectfully rather than shouted at. More informed debate takes place in the ‘blogosphere’ than takes place in sermonizing or ecclesiastical pronouncements. You put your finger on the key issue: the role of the episcopate, especially in England. Now in my seventies, I have lost all respect for the College of Bishops against all my natural instincts though I greatly admire one or two individual bishops. The attempt to railroad the Covenant through Diocesan Synods was the last straw for me.

    My respect for ++Justin is diminishing by the minute. You are right to stress that this is a civil rights issue which the ABC seems unable to see. The trouble is that the Church of England fails to understand that the Communion is made up of autonomous churches. Moreover, it seems prepared to sacrifice the rights of LGBT people on the altar of GAFCON – and Bishop Chillingworth in a post on his blog came close to implying the same thing. The imperial instinct is not dead, it seems. Truth must trump unity not unity truth. Our arguments must be based on human rights and equality.

    It would do all church hierarchies good to read ‘Kenosis and the Establishment’ by that admirable if challenging Scottish philosophical theologian, Donald MacKinnon. It is an excoriating critique of ecclesiastical power and self regarding. It was written in 1969 and is as relevant now as it was then.

    Daniel Lamont

    You are also

  5. Elizabeth Roome Avatar
    Elizabeth Roome

    I found your blog most interesting and insightful. I was a member of the Church of the Province of South Africa (Anglican) for the 1st 60 years of my life. Since coming to UK in 2008, I have joined a Church of England church. In South Africa we were privileged to have the bold and compassionate leadership of Archbishop Desmond Tutu, who is a beacon of Christian leadership. He does not appear to be held back by the prejudiced behaviour of African bishops and churches further north in Africa. He supports the rights of all people, irrespective of race, gender or sexual orientation. It is thus very disappointing to me to find this lack of leadership here in the C of E. Fortunately, I am Protestant enough to realise that it actually between me and God, so I only take church leaders as seriously as their pronouncements suggest I should – which, in Justin Welby’s case, is not very seriously. Attitudes such as those expressed by him on the radio program simply make the church seem even more irrelevant to people who live in the real world where all sorts of people rub shoulders in the workplace and elsewhere, and have to learn tolerance !

  6. Kes Grant Avatar
    Kes Grant

    Thank you for this interesting and broad contribution to the international debate.

    I am the person who asked the question of ++Justin on the radio. I had no idea it would lead to an international outcry. I hope that in some way it moves us on at a faster pace because so many are debating the issue.

    Wilberforce said to parliament when they refused to listen to him that now they were aware, they can’t “unknow” what they had learned.

    I hope we can all look forward to travelling at the front of the bus together.

  7. Richard Thornburgh Avatar

    Excellent. Thank you.

  8. Jesse Zink Avatar

    Can you say some more about this comment: “In the Global South, deference is far from dead. What bishops say there largely goes.” In my experience of dioceses in the Global South, there are as wide a variety of approaches to episcopal authority as there are in this country. I would be interested in hearing more about how you reached this conclusion.

    1. Kelvin Avatar

      I reach that conclusion by my dealings with bishops relating to members of my congregation who are from the Global South.

      I’m sure that there are indeed a variety of approaches to episcopal authority in the Global South. It is also the case though that I’ve encountered models of episcopacy from other parts of the world which simply would never be tolerated these days in my own country.

      You are right though – I made a careless generalisation.

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