• How were my Predictions last year?

  31/12/2024

  Time to check out how I did with the predictions I made on New Year’s Day 2024.

  1  General Election in UK – Labour landslide. PM – Sir Keir Starmer. (No great change in policies from the Tory government that Labour will replace).

  Yes – fulfilled in every way.

  2  US politics will continue to be dominated by Donald Trump

  Yes

  3  In the US Presidential election in November there will be victory for the Republican Party.

  Yes

  4  AI/Deepfakes have a significant effect in electoral politics.

  Not really – AI/Deepfakes are present but there’s no real evidence that they swung any particular election

  5  Conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine unresolved by end of 2024.

  Alas Yes

  6  No progress for those wanting marriage equality in the Church of England.

  Alas Yes

  7  Twitter goes bust or is sold or both.

  Not quite. Twitter feels pretty wounded but still Xists.

  8  The world will be warmer in 2024 than ever before.

  Yes

  9  Another country will join Nato.

  Yes, Sweden in March.

  A new agreement is reached between the UK and Greece on the Elgin/Parthenon Marbles that opens the door for at least some of them to be displayed in Athens.

  Close but no cigar.

   

  Not a bad year – 7 direct hits with a few misses.

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