• Predictions 2023

    1. Generative artificial intelligence will become significantly disruptive of many sectors this year. Education practices will change quickly as a result of this but education will be but one of many areas of life to be affected.
    2. No progress for those seeking marriage equality in the Church of England. There will be a lot of talk about moving towards some form of official blessings for same-sex couples which would have the effect of thwarting those seeking actual equality, making it more difficult to achieve. Further division amongst pro-gay activists in the Church of England.
    3. Indyref 2 will not happen on 19 October 2023 as Nicola Sturgeon had hoped, which is a shame for those seeking to separate Scotland from the rest of the UK as the autumn will be the high water mark for the Indepedence movement. It will be downhill into the next General Election after that.
    4. Trump and Biden will both declare that they intend to run for the US presidency in 2024 and American politics will continue to be all about Donald Trump.
    5. Covid recovery remains bumpy, particularly through supply-chain problems due to mismanagement of Covid in China.
    6. No conclusive end to the war in Ukraine this year.
    7. Governments in Westminster and Holyrood will announce some kind of “new deal” for the National Heath Service.
    8. UK Government will not succeed in blocking Scottish Gender Recognition Reform.
    9. Liam McArthur’s bill in the Scottish Parliamant to allow doctors to participate in the killing of terminally ill patients will fail to receive parliamentary approval but will receive more support than similar proposals have before.
    10. Changes announced to the UK honours system, perhaps at the time of the Coronation, to remove references to empire. OBE becomes Order of British Excellence.

One response to “Wars and rumours of wars”

  1. Alan McManus Avatar

    Another beautiful and eminently sensible blogpost, Kelvin. Though, I’m trying to think of Scottish values. “Fair play, cricket and a stiff upper lip” being famous *English* prep school virtues (though Anglo-Saxon territory was mostly won through betrayal of hospitality anathema to the Celts, countries the English colonised beat them at their own game, and the Japanese have a lot more self-control than English football hooligans abroad and loutish lords throughout history). It’s just not on to rewrite UK cultural/ colonial history in this manner. The ancient rivalries on these islands have been devious and twisted and the evils we’ve done to each other are only outweighed by the havoc we’ve combined to wreak abroad. And all of our history only proves your main point: attempt to counter values with the sword and they will thrive despite you. For good, or for ill.

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