• How were my Predictions last year?

    Time to check out how I did with the predictions I made on New Year’s Day 2024.

    1  General Election in UK – Labour landslide. PM – Sir Keir Starmer. (No great change in policies from the Tory government that Labour will replace).

    Yes – fulfilled in every way.

    2  US politics will continue to be dominated by Donald Trump

    Yes

    3  In the US Presidential election in November there will be victory for the Republican Party.

    Yes

    4  AI/Deepfakes have a significant effect in electoral politics.

    Not really – AI/Deepfakes are present but there’s no real evidence that they swung any particular election

    5  Conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine unresolved by end of 2024.

    Alas Yes

    6  No progress for those wanting marriage equality in the Church of England.

    Alas Yes

    7  Twitter goes bust or is sold or both.

    Not quite. Twitter feels pretty wounded but still Xists.

    8  The world will be warmer in 2024 than ever before.

    Yes

    9  Another country will join Nato.

    Yes, Sweden in March.

    A new agreement is reached between the UK and Greece on the Elgin/Parthenon Marbles that opens the door for at least some of them to be displayed in Athens.

    Close but no cigar.

     

    Not a bad year – 7 direct hits with a few misses.

2 responses to “Dear St George – here’s 3 dragons I’d like slaying”

  1. Jane Mason Avatar
    Jane Mason

    These are really the most important dragons of our time. From your words to God’s ear…..and then a military order to St George. Amen.

  2. Stephen Harte Avatar
    Stephen Harte

    well said – during the campaign I made sure i never asked for “same-sex marriage” or (worse still) “gay marriage” but rather “equal marriage”.

    unfortunately, the law does differentiate. Before marriage equality, no minister of religion was required to marry anyone (there were CofS ministers who would not marry those “living in sin” and the Catholics wouldn’t marry those who didn’t promise to have kids and bring them up catholic). Suddenly though we needed a special subdivision for marriages involving a same-sex couple to protect clergy who for some reason feared they would be forced to marry such couples despite never being forced to marry ANY couple.

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